The arguments of Provost and Derome - that pandemic burden models used to drive policy were dramatically overestimating burden - are supported empirically by my own analyses of US outbreaks.
The paper above also ultimately led to my leaving academia. In peer review, the paper got locked up because one reviewer thought it would be dangerous to publish the possibility that US outbreaks depleted susceptible populations in the Fall of 2020. That paper above has a long story behind it:
But the big picture is that, as a mathematical biologist with a PhD from Princeton and well versed in epidemiology, I concur with the professors' arguments not only as a fair point one can make, but as an important direction in our scientific debates over pandemic epidemiology. It saddens, but does not surprise, me that university administrators are interfering as referees in a scientific debate, in a field which the administrators have no experience - we saw the same thing with the media throughout COVID, declaring as "misinformation" the science that was just ahead of its time and refuting the publicly stated oversimplifications and old theories from popular epidemiologists.
We can win this longer-term struggle, but only if we get a careful accounting of anomalies that are not explained. Models overestimating burden, even completely outrageous overestimates, can always say the difference between reality and their model is some fudge-factor of our "behavioral changes". For this reason, my paper focused on places close to home like South Dakota which had basically no "behavioral changes" and yet they converged to the same mortality burden as places like NYC that tried to do everything. It's scientifically possible that our mitigation efforts did little to reduce the final burden of SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks across vast swaths of US and Europe, with only a few pockets of successful containment that are the exception, not the norm.
And the insanity continues! It is such a tragedy what is happening to the universities. Academic freedom no longer exists. Professors are regarded as mere employees or minions of a corporatist machine. Truth is no longer valued. This is very troubling indeed.
The evidence questions the 'safe and effective' mantra is indeed mounting. Ignore it at our peril.
Also, not sure these are vaccines. Even Moderna described it as a 'gene therapy' and it has been asserted once more than two injections are administered, it becomes less a 'vaccine' and more a treatment. In the leaked Fauci emails, he himself and others in the leak described them as 'experimental vaccines'. Listening to the FDA panel, it's become all too clear - as the 'conspiracy theorists alleged from the onset - we're the experiment. Cheers.
Stefan Oelrich of Bayer Pharma called them gene therapies in a youtube video. He made the comment that if they had been advertised as such, 90% of people would have refused. He also said that that was the way for future drugs.
Well said. Given Provost's closing statement, it must be tough to see that even in the fate of his very article, he has been proven all the more correct. This statement by the journalist that surely if something were true we would know it by now (so it can't be), could be applied to so many things that are alarming but dismissed as impossible.
Prof. Farrow writes, "But perhaps our universities aren't respectable anymore, not even Canada's oldest university." Why "perhaps"?
Universities have been prominent protagonists in the manufactured COVID crisis. In fact most of our vital institutions have failed us by enforcing COVID restrictions. Where universities are really putting themselves beyond redemption, however, is by studiously disregarding the evidence and pushing toxic medical products whose lethal and injurious impacts are becoming increasingly difficult to hide. There will be consequences for contributing to this ongoing cover-up.
It is still hard to grasp the range of harms being done. The harms are being felt widely across many areas including health, sanity, economic viability, and religious freedom. Other domains of devastation include assaults on the surviving remnants of our democracies as well as on the rule of law, protections for human rights, and the integrity of scientific inquiry. This list id far from complete.
Its now clear that all the codified rights outlined in national constitutions and international treaties only apply until we are most in need of having them respected. Universities have contributed significantly to the brutalization resulting from such gross violations of society's highest ideals. What would it take for universities to win back some measure of respectability after such startling exposures of cowardice, stupidity and corruption?
Agreed on all points. The 'perhaps' is merely rhetorical.
To the question, 'What would it take?', I wish I could answer 'many more profs speaking up', but the professoriate as a whole has shown itself either dimwitted or cowardly or both, where it is not actively behind the neo-Bolshevist 'stakeholder capitalism' revolution we are experiencing. The bureaucrats are by and large hopeless, in the university as in the civil service, though a few tug on the reins from time to time. That leaves the students.
What is required, quite urgently, is an increasing number of courageous students who will stand with the small number of resistance profs, calling out the lies and inconsistencies and demanding change.
The change would have to go very deep, eventually, to redeem the universities. The Bolsheviks are bold enough these days to attack even the hard sciences, and they are attacking on two fronts: the EDI (gender) front and the EHT (eugenic health tyranny/covid drug war) front. These seemingly disparate attacks have safetyism in common. But safetyism, in those who succumb to it, is nothing but cowardice cum stupidity.
As I will mention towards the end of next week's postings, now's the time to read or re-read Chambers' book, Witness.
There is no "scientific" consensus. Everything is political. I wrote it in my last essay (Lâches, Traîtres & Collabos). Thinking dialogues and debates are still possible in this psychiatric hospital is naive. The last Supreme Court Judgment in the US about abortion shows that the repression is global. It is time to call a cat a cat. Trudeau and his political gangs of collaborators are organizing a putsch on people's sovereignty. We have to dismantle this civilization and rebuilt a new one.
Dismantle, then rebuild: that is what the whole covid exercise is about. It belongs to something only euphemistically called a 'reset'. Rebuilding is indeed required, but with what resources and on what foundation? If not on the foundation of human dignity as bestowed and (through incarnation) reaffirmed by the Creator, then not on any foundation capacious enough for human flourishing.
The abortion industry is global; the Dobbs decision a rebuke to its claim to constitutional status in the US, and to its subversion of the theological and anthropological foundations of ordered liberty—to say nothing of its rivers of innocent blood. At the roots of the abortion industry is not the Creator, to be thanked, but Moloch, to be appeased.
I was not thinking of the "Great Reset" of this Nazi ancestor, Klaus Schwab! I was thinking of rebuilding our institutions with people who know and experience moral sense. It took me twenty years to fully understand and recognize the global crime very few people want to see. Through the political movement, we have to show people they cannot trust ALL politicians because they supply themselves with the same ideology. I tried to express it through my last essay, but nobody read it! It shows the level of decadence we are facing. The "Tour" of transhumanism and hypermaterialism must fall before we can rebuild a society according to spiritual values. But first, we have to stop betraying words! Abortion and euthanasia are murders! And transgenderism is a psychiatric disease! I wrote all that in my essay. But who dares to face reality when they have the "metapervert" of Zuckerberg!
Bonhoeffer: "All these considerations must no doubt have a quite decisive influence on our personal and pastoral attitude toward the person concerned [in abortion], but they cannot in any way alter the fact of murder." (The full quotation can be found in Michael Banner's book, Christian Ethics and Contemporary Moral Problems, at p. 86, in an essay he wrote while here at McGill.) I highly recommend chapters 2 and 3, André. Thanks for sharing your own essay. By the way, Bonhoeffer will appear briefly in the two part essay I will posting here next week.
Speaking of Hachey. Never mind the evolving data trickling in about these shots. The government still peddles claims long since debunked. Today, Duclos made this shocking claim: The vaccines stop transmission and infection. We've known since 2021 that this is not the case. Indeed, Pfizer has said they were never designed to halt transmission. We now know they're also mediocre against infection and the evidence it prevents 'severe disease' (whatever that means) is questionable. There is NOTHING controversial about this and broadly acknowledged. Yet Canada not only promulgates this lie but also maintains a 14-day quarantine for the unvaccinated when we know a 5-day quarantine is more than enough. Even though healthy, asymptomatic people shouldn't be put in quarantine in the first place.
This is why governments began to lift travel restrictions and mandates. The question becomes: What is going on in Canada as we're the only country with such bizarre restrictions while remaining steadfast in misguided and erroneous assumptions about the shots. It's concerning.
I am still hopeful that more peoples eyes are being opened. 2 steps forward, 1 step back.
I'm beginning to think that the WEF agenda is moving forward; we're focusing on covid and the therapeutics while they're already moved on to greater economic destruction. Here's an interesting video from kitco. I find it encouraging when I see younger people seeing reality.
Problem is, how much damage will be done until it collapses? He's doing a lot with his minority power. It's unfortunate that despite reports of the majority of Caucus opposed to him, they're too cowardly to remove him. This allows the caliphate bully to keep going. Boris Johnson was almost taken down for not following his Covid rules. Trudeau has done far - far - worse and remains unscathed.
Do you have a link to what you're referring to? Or more details perhaps? It's hard to differentiate yesterdays madness from what's just been announced!
Haven't willingly read or watched MSM in over 20 years myself. Someone sent me the link. I agree. Until people just say 'Ok, that's enough' they will keep coming.
People are now reading what he said as they will mandate it in perpetuity. it may sound that way but not sure they will. Either way, it's concerning.
I have a huge-mega problem with Duclos saying it stops transmission and infection when we've known since 2021 they do NOT. This is a straight-up lie and he knows it.
Alas, I've resigned myself to the fact come fall, they will come hard. Like they did last year. Never peace.
The arguments of Provost and Derome - that pandemic burden models used to drive policy were dramatically overestimating burden - are supported empirically by my own analyses of US outbreaks.
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.05.03.21256542v2
The paper above also ultimately led to my leaving academia. In peer review, the paper got locked up because one reviewer thought it would be dangerous to publish the possibility that US outbreaks depleted susceptible populations in the Fall of 2020. That paper above has a long story behind it:
https://alexwasburne.substack.com/p/the-science-not-shared
But the big picture is that, as a mathematical biologist with a PhD from Princeton and well versed in epidemiology, I concur with the professors' arguments not only as a fair point one can make, but as an important direction in our scientific debates over pandemic epidemiology. It saddens, but does not surprise, me that university administrators are interfering as referees in a scientific debate, in a field which the administrators have no experience - we saw the same thing with the media throughout COVID, declaring as "misinformation" the science that was just ahead of its time and refuting the publicly stated oversimplifications and old theories from popular epidemiologists.
We can win this longer-term struggle, but only if we get a careful accounting of anomalies that are not explained. Models overestimating burden, even completely outrageous overestimates, can always say the difference between reality and their model is some fudge-factor of our "behavioral changes". For this reason, my paper focused on places close to home like South Dakota which had basically no "behavioral changes" and yet they converged to the same mortality burden as places like NYC that tried to do everything. It's scientifically possible that our mitigation efforts did little to reduce the final burden of SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks across vast swaths of US and Europe, with only a few pockets of successful containment that are the exception, not the norm.
And the insanity continues! It is such a tragedy what is happening to the universities. Academic freedom no longer exists. Professors are regarded as mere employees or minions of a corporatist machine. Truth is no longer valued. This is very troubling indeed.
The evidence questions the 'safe and effective' mantra is indeed mounting. Ignore it at our peril.
Also, not sure these are vaccines. Even Moderna described it as a 'gene therapy' and it has been asserted once more than two injections are administered, it becomes less a 'vaccine' and more a treatment. In the leaked Fauci emails, he himself and others in the leak described them as 'experimental vaccines'. Listening to the FDA panel, it's become all too clear - as the 'conspiracy theorists alleged from the onset - we're the experiment. Cheers.
Stefan Oelrich of Bayer Pharma called them gene therapies in a youtube video. He made the comment that if they had been advertised as such, 90% of people would have refused. He also said that that was the way for future drugs.
That's right. My mistake. Moderna called it the 'software of life'. That will need 'updating'.
I see Blade Runner in the future. And Demolition Man.
Well said. Given Provost's closing statement, it must be tough to see that even in the fate of his very article, he has been proven all the more correct. This statement by the journalist that surely if something were true we would know it by now (so it can't be), could be applied to so many things that are alarming but dismissed as impossible.
Prof. Farrow writes, "But perhaps our universities aren't respectable anymore, not even Canada's oldest university." Why "perhaps"?
Universities have been prominent protagonists in the manufactured COVID crisis. In fact most of our vital institutions have failed us by enforcing COVID restrictions. Where universities are really putting themselves beyond redemption, however, is by studiously disregarding the evidence and pushing toxic medical products whose lethal and injurious impacts are becoming increasingly difficult to hide. There will be consequences for contributing to this ongoing cover-up.
It is still hard to grasp the range of harms being done. The harms are being felt widely across many areas including health, sanity, economic viability, and religious freedom. Other domains of devastation include assaults on the surviving remnants of our democracies as well as on the rule of law, protections for human rights, and the integrity of scientific inquiry. This list id far from complete.
Its now clear that all the codified rights outlined in national constitutions and international treaties only apply until we are most in need of having them respected. Universities have contributed significantly to the brutalization resulting from such gross violations of society's highest ideals. What would it take for universities to win back some measure of respectability after such startling exposures of cowardice, stupidity and corruption?
Agreed on all points. The 'perhaps' is merely rhetorical.
To the question, 'What would it take?', I wish I could answer 'many more profs speaking up', but the professoriate as a whole has shown itself either dimwitted or cowardly or both, where it is not actively behind the neo-Bolshevist 'stakeholder capitalism' revolution we are experiencing. The bureaucrats are by and large hopeless, in the university as in the civil service, though a few tug on the reins from time to time. That leaves the students.
What is required, quite urgently, is an increasing number of courageous students who will stand with the small number of resistance profs, calling out the lies and inconsistencies and demanding change.
The change would have to go very deep, eventually, to redeem the universities. The Bolsheviks are bold enough these days to attack even the hard sciences, and they are attacking on two fronts: the EDI (gender) front and the EHT (eugenic health tyranny/covid drug war) front. These seemingly disparate attacks have safetyism in common. But safetyism, in those who succumb to it, is nothing but cowardice cum stupidity.
As I will mention towards the end of next week's postings, now's the time to read or re-read Chambers' book, Witness.
Great article. How dare anyone try to school this man on RNA! Covid has highlighted how distorted some people’s boundaries are
There is no "scientific" consensus. Everything is political. I wrote it in my last essay (Lâches, Traîtres & Collabos). Thinking dialogues and debates are still possible in this psychiatric hospital is naive. The last Supreme Court Judgment in the US about abortion shows that the repression is global. It is time to call a cat a cat. Trudeau and his political gangs of collaborators are organizing a putsch on people's sovereignty. We have to dismantle this civilization and rebuilt a new one.
Dismantle, then rebuild: that is what the whole covid exercise is about. It belongs to something only euphemistically called a 'reset'. Rebuilding is indeed required, but with what resources and on what foundation? If not on the foundation of human dignity as bestowed and (through incarnation) reaffirmed by the Creator, then not on any foundation capacious enough for human flourishing.
The abortion industry is global; the Dobbs decision a rebuke to its claim to constitutional status in the US, and to its subversion of the theological and anthropological foundations of ordered liberty—to say nothing of its rivers of innocent blood. At the roots of the abortion industry is not the Creator, to be thanked, but Moloch, to be appeased.
Dear Douglas,
I was not thinking of the "Great Reset" of this Nazi ancestor, Klaus Schwab! I was thinking of rebuilding our institutions with people who know and experience moral sense. It took me twenty years to fully understand and recognize the global crime very few people want to see. Through the political movement, we have to show people they cannot trust ALL politicians because they supply themselves with the same ideology. I tried to express it through my last essay, but nobody read it! It shows the level of decadence we are facing. The "Tour" of transhumanism and hypermaterialism must fall before we can rebuild a society according to spiritual values. But first, we have to stop betraying words! Abortion and euthanasia are murders! And transgenderism is a psychiatric disease! I wrote all that in my essay. But who dares to face reality when they have the "metapervert" of Zuckerberg!
Bonhoeffer: "All these considerations must no doubt have a quite decisive influence on our personal and pastoral attitude toward the person concerned [in abortion], but they cannot in any way alter the fact of murder." (The full quotation can be found in Michael Banner's book, Christian Ethics and Contemporary Moral Problems, at p. 86, in an essay he wrote while here at McGill.) I highly recommend chapters 2 and 3, André. Thanks for sharing your own essay. By the way, Bonhoeffer will appear briefly in the two part essay I will posting here next week.
Speaking of Hachey. Never mind the evolving data trickling in about these shots. The government still peddles claims long since debunked. Today, Duclos made this shocking claim: The vaccines stop transmission and infection. We've known since 2021 that this is not the case. Indeed, Pfizer has said they were never designed to halt transmission. We now know they're also mediocre against infection and the evidence it prevents 'severe disease' (whatever that means) is questionable. There is NOTHING controversial about this and broadly acknowledged. Yet Canada not only promulgates this lie but also maintains a 14-day quarantine for the unvaccinated when we know a 5-day quarantine is more than enough. Even though healthy, asymptomatic people shouldn't be put in quarantine in the first place.
This is why governments began to lift travel restrictions and mandates. The question becomes: What is going on in Canada as we're the only country with such bizarre restrictions while remaining steadfast in misguided and erroneous assumptions about the shots. It's concerning.
Unavailable to me at the Wayback Machine link supplied in this valuable post, the admirable offending article by Provost can be read at
https://libremedia.ca/article/le-veritable-portrait-de-la-covid-19-au-quebec
Here's a similar, rather less restrained letter from a few months ago, of Israeli provenance:
https://swprs.org/professor-ehud-qimron-ministry-of-health-its-time-to-admit-failure/
I am still hopeful that more peoples eyes are being opened. 2 steps forward, 1 step back.
I'm beginning to think that the WEF agenda is moving forward; we're focusing on covid and the therapeutics while they're already moved on to greater economic destruction. Here's an interesting video from kitco. I find it encouraging when I see younger people seeing reality.
https://www.kitco.com/news/video/show/Collision-2022---June/4097/2022-06-28/The-Great-Reset-and-Bitcoin-Is-there-a-way-out-of-this-dystopian-vision-of-the-future---Roger-Huang#_48_INSTANCE_puYLh9Vd66QY_=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.kitco.com%2Fnews%2Fvideo%2Flatest%3Fshow%3DCollision-2022---June
I hope eyes open, courage found and mettle hardened.
Because what I heard from Duclos today is of great concern. Madness.
The caliphate wishes us a Happy Dominion of Lies Day. But a reign of lies, lacking all true authority, always collapses upon itself.
Problem is, how much damage will be done until it collapses? He's doing a lot with his minority power. It's unfortunate that despite reports of the majority of Caucus opposed to him, they're too cowardly to remove him. This allows the caliphate bully to keep going. Boris Johnson was almost taken down for not following his Covid rules. Trudeau has done far - far - worse and remains unscathed.
Do you have a link to what you're referring to? Or more details perhaps? It's hard to differentiate yesterdays madness from what's just been announced!
What was just announced?
https://www.ctvnews.ca/video?clipId=2476718
Thanks for the link. I don't watch TV; sometimes online news is slower to post 'the news'.
'...get the shot that's waiting for you...' I hate that line. What does it tell you that they've named it NACI (sounds just like NAZI)?
Until people start to peacefully but loudly not comply, the gov will just continue to push. Why not, it works for them.
I'm not surprised by his announcement although yes, I am somewhat concerned about what's planned.
Haven't willingly read or watched MSM in over 20 years myself. Someone sent me the link. I agree. Until people just say 'Ok, that's enough' they will keep coming.
People are now reading what he said as they will mandate it in perpetuity. it may sound that way but not sure they will. Either way, it's concerning.
I have a huge-mega problem with Duclos saying it stops transmission and infection when we've known since 2021 they do NOT. This is a straight-up lie and he knows it.
Alas, I've resigned myself to the fact come fall, they will come hard. Like they did last year. Never peace.
Thank you soo much!!